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Can You Play Exxon Crashing On The Opening?

Here is it's five day chart. I have talked about these options before. Exxon drops on the opening. The Puts going into the trading session obviously did well. Is it time to buy the Calls for a rebound? Here are two series to look at. Only one contract traded in the first five minutes of trading. That tells us traders do not see this as being an amazing opportunity. It also shows us that experienced option traders have taught themselves to wait before they attempt to participate in any kind of a rebound. That's what you have to teach yourself to do. ....... Does this change at the 15 minute into the market time period? I can't tell for sure however it looks like someone may have bought a block of 50 contracts in the 116 series of Calls. Here we are at 10:00 a.m. Could this be the bottom? Now here we are at 12:22 p.m. Happy times are here again. The 115 series of Calls which were trading for $1.87 at 9:46 a.m. now at 12:22 p.m have moved upwards to $2.70. The 116 ser...
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Caterpillar Jumped $32.09 On The Week

Not a bad week.
Here is how it traded on Friday. It was up $7.28 however it was losing steam towards the end of the trading session.
Here is how one of it's Call option series traded on Friday.
A couple of comments. Look at the low interest in the outstanding number of option contracts in this one series shown. Option traders don't like trading them. Their earning report for the quarter doesn't come put until Oct 29th. Earnings per share this year are expected to be around $18.00 per share compared to $21.00 in 2023. Caterpillar is helped by interest rates coming down and the increased interest in mining actitives and AI biulding infrastructure projects.How true any of this? One can only guess. The stock Deere and Co. in contrast was down $1.11 on the week. Farmers are in trouble.
Now let's look at Caterpillars 30 day chart.
Now a look at these three series of "out-of-the-money" Puts that will expire at the end of this week. No one is wanting to trade them.
It's hard to fight upward sentiment. Now this, a readout of one of next weeks "in-the-money-Puts".
Five trading session ago Caterpillar was trading at $470.00. Charging stocks like Caterpillar are difficult to play on the downside. So few option traders want to play it on the downside. Now this, a look at one series of Puts that traded On Friday Oct. 3th. If you look at it's one day chart you will see that it sold off between 12:45 p.m. and 2:15 p.m. Around this 12:45 p.m. time period the 500 series of Puts sold off to their lows of the day down to one cent a contract! There was an opportunity profit on that mid day slide.
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It's only on a Friday that one day moves of this magnitude would have such a direct effect on the trading patterns of short term options like this. But who would would be brave enough to purchase Puts $5.00 "out-of-the money" with only three hours of trading time left in them? If Caterpillar jumps again on Monday morning expect to see some traders starting to think about looking at the downside action.

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