Featured

Ford Kind Of Threw A Curve Ball With The Release Of Their Quarterly Earning's Report

First here is how the stock traded on the week. It's not very often you see a chart that looks like this after a company comes out with a quarterly earning's report. One would expect that if a stock goes up on an earning's report it will usually stay up. How good was it's earning's report? Yet sales were down 8%. All the while something else had happened. A few days prior Ford made this remark. Details of what this all meant were somewhat vague. Is Ford going to start transitioning itself out of the automotive industry? During World War Two Ford started building airplanes called the B-24 Liberator after first building the "River Run Bomber Plant". When Ford starts to talk about building something new the entire world listens. Isn't it true that the stock Caterpillar has also hinted of following a new path diversification? Here is what I am talking about. This "Ford Energy" notion came out only days before their earning release news. Was ...
Post a Comment

What Happened to Options On Tesla With Two Days To Go And An Earnings Report

First it's five day chart going into a Thursday. It closed at $438.97 on Wednesday. Something else was happening on wednesday. It's quarterly earnings report were coming out after the markets closed. This factor means that both the Calls and Puts were priced higher than they usually would be.
The 440 Calls going into the opening closed at $14.30 on wednesday's close and the offsetting Puts with the same striking price closed at $15.37.
......
So the $14.30 for the Calls means $1,430.00 U.S. dollars which equals about $2,000 Canadian. Just to break even the stock would have to close at $454.30 which would be a huge leap upwards. It could. As stated in a past blog on two of the last three Fridays Tesla has had an interday price swing of over $30.00 dollars. Let's watch it and see what happens. So really the "small fish" meaning the little guys like us can't be sloshing money around and holding onto contracts like this overnight. But wait. It's the swings that one should be watching and opportunities will be presenting themselves interday. Here is how both the Calls and the Puts traded and closed the day. The Puts jumped up $12.00 on the opening and the Calls got crushed and later rebounded.
.......
How did this all happen? Well here is it's one day chart.
Now here is the highly anticipated earning report news.
Initially the stock crashed on the opening on this report. Then,something that was bad suddenly switched to being good. That was the time to be getting in on the upside. Look at these interday highs and lows.
Tesla options are best played interday. Now congratulate yourself if you got through reading this blog. There was a lot to digest and this was one of the most action packed days I have witnessed on this stock in a very long time. Tesla options often suprise. In some ways I understand why some option players make Tesla their number one stock to play options on. Friday's action was also a suprise.
Put option players who got in after the opening bell are the ones who got lucky. Look at how the 450 series of Puts traded on the day. As stated before, catching "last-day-to-expiring-Friday" Tesla options going in the right direction between let's say 1:00 p.m. and 3:00 p.m. is often a good strategy.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more