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Caterpillar Puts On A Friday Morning

I am getting some flack from people saying I should have called this site CatCalls and not CatPuts. Oh well, I saved money by going with name Catputs. Now this. Caterpillar closed at $647.18 on Thursday and jumped to $655.54 at 9:47 a.m. on Friday morning. Then it dropped to 641.44, the low of the day at 10:43 a.m. which was 56 minutes later. That's a massive price swing. Looking for price swings on one day options are not normal trades to be thinking about. I get that Look at how this one series of Puts reacted. Option trader as I have often mentioned are afraid to play options on Caterpillar as it defies logic and continues to go up in price. It has an earnings report coming out at 8:30 a.m. on Thursday January 29th. Try and listen to their conference call. Profits may not be as rich as some people are expecting. Input costs have risen. Now let's look at the 650.00 Puts to see how they traded on the day. So few traders attempt to trade in them. Look at the super low open i...
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Netflix Options Are Humbling

The little small fish players can't play them. Especially on the morning of an earning's release. Here is one comment on what happened.
Is that observation something we should keep in mind (the weakening dollar value aspect) on other soon to be reported earnings reports? The pricings on Netflix options are astronomically high on the eve of their quarterly earnings report. Here is it's five day chart.
Now here we are going into a Friday morning opening fresh after an earnings release and here is how the 1275 series of Puts closed on Thursday at 4:00 p.m.
Are you able to see the price they closed at? They closed at $39.75 a contract! Are the Calls any cheaper? Not really.
True to form there are slightly more outstanding open Call positions than Puts. Now image this. If you own a block of this stock you can sell the Calls and Sell the Puts simultaneously. If the stock closes up ten dollars on the day the Puts expire worthless and that money now belongs to you. Then you would have to buy back the Calls which would then be worth about $9.07. So on one hand you made $39.75 and on the other side you lost $32.18. If the stock goes down $10.00 on the day what you make on selling the Calls more than offsets what you have to pay to buy back your Puts. It becomes a bet on the stock staying within a range of $40.00 of where it closed on the previous day. Forget trying to play them. Stick to the Tesla, Caterpillar and Boeing type of option trades. Now this. A readout at 9:43 a.m.. This is game changing news. The stock is down $54.64.
All of our calculations are suddenly thrown out the window. A straight buy of Puts would have generated a gain of about 50% in the first ten minutes of trading. A better gain had you purchased Puts twenty or thirty dollars "out-of-the-money". Yet let's forget the doing the spread angle on this stock. Or this. Think of the money made from just selling a Call (if your account would allow you to do that) prior to the closing on Thursday! As we will see, a $41.00 Call will be expiring worthless in one day! The charts kind of suggest that this could happen. Netflix options should be viewed as holding "dynamite". Now a 10:30 a.m. chart.
This kind of action can't be reversed. Now the closing numbers on the day.
****
** Alphabet (GOOGL) reports after the close on July 23th. Here are is it's five and thirty day charts.
If you are using You Tube this summer shame on you for not owning Call options on it in the last thirty days. What were you thinking?

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