Featured

Boeing "Near-To-The-Money" Options Baffles Me On A Friday Morning.

After a four day period of intense price changes for the stock Boeing on Friday morning presents itself as trading in a sea of calm. It's trading flat. Here is it's daily price swings over the previous four days. $5.50, $4:10, $6.00 and $5.40. One has to wonder whether or not these large daily price movements are somehow formulated into providing the Friday morning's "bids and ask". They should be. The reason I mention this is that the Friday morning's "bids and ask" in the first few hours of trading look particularly inexpensive to me. Is it because there are no scheduled press happening today? .. Now a 12:33 p.m. price check. With stock trading flat and with a couple of hours of trading life still left in these options, couldn't the stock drop down or go up another three or four dollars? That's what seems to have happened over the week. .......... Now this at the end of the trading session. At 3:00 p.m., the time these options expired ...
Post a Comment

Eli Lilly - Expect Morning Moves Like This. Also Costco and Carvana

I don't like writing blogs about Eli Lilly. Why? Three reasons. It's option premiums are expensive and the stock makes giant moves. The third reason is that I know next to nothing about Eli Lilly's "day-to-day" operating realities. If I guess wrong, yes I say the word guess and I am not apologizing for using it, it's game over. Look at what happened this morning, a Tuesday. It jumped upwards after the opening and then sold off.
...
The Puts traded down to $12.64 on the stock's early morning blip upwards and then nearly doubled in price on the ensuing decline. A second chart here below shows that action better.
Buy the Puts just after the opening and sell them a few minutes later or wait and sell them at lunchtime.
It's not only Eli Lilly that moves like this. Look at Costco today.
It also was up on the opening and then tanked. This series of Puts moved up in price.
Finally Carvana. The same story. Up on the opening and then tanking.
..
If you are a repeat viewer to this site you will know that these are three stocks on my radar list. Look at the low volumes of Put trading in these three stocks. Situations like this are difficult to track. Serious option traders should track the activities of these three stocks on one screen and watch how they trade in the first ten or fifteen minutes of the opening markets. If any of them have popped upwards and if it's a Monday, Tuesday or a Wednesday then tune into the possibities of reversals happening. Watch for me to highlight these recurences in future blogs. This is big boy trading and the stakes are high.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more