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Trying To Make Costco Options Impossible To Play That Expire In One Day.

This was a special situation. A quarterly earning report coming out on the eve of one day options. With five days in every trading week the odds of that situation happening are only like twenty percent.  Some companies, more in tune with the potential for market manipulations will avoid earning report releases on Thursday afternoons for this very  reason. For some option players the event of  having one day options reacting to quarterly earning reports is like waiting for Christmas morning. Especially on stocks in the $1,000 dollar range. First the Puts on a Thursday morning at 9:52 a.m.. These are Puts which are $9.75 "out-of-the-money" with one day of trading life to go before they expire. Look at how crazy expensive they are. The stock would have to drop $21.00 in Thursday and Fridays trading just to break even. Earning reports will be coming out at 5:00 p.m. (on a Thursday - today) which is after the market closes. The fireworks will start in the next morning when the...

Boeing Has Gotten Expensive Lately

 It might start making money again. Here is it's five day cart.

On Monday May 22th  the markets jumped up over 800 points and Boeing was down. Monday was May 27th.  Here is Thursdays chart.
If you look at the chart you can see some traders got in on the opening on Call options near the previous day's closing price. Then these Calls jumped up explosively on the day.
Why it happened. Well their CEO made a speech. He stated that the company is making a come back. Why the stock didn't open a few dollars higher the following morning rather that having a limp opening is something I don't know.

Is it to late to play it for a continued rebound tomorrow, a Friday? Here is how the $202.50 Calls closed the day which is a Thursday. The "open interest" number is fairly high.
Now the $207.50 Calls which are just a touch "out-of-the-money" Calls.
It was good news that caused this stock to go up. If the market opens stronger these "one-day-out" options could open stronger. Here also is a look at the slightly just "out-of-the-money" Puts. The Puts lost 80% of their value on the day as the stock was up $6.68 on the day.
What's my take on things? If Boeing was up only a dollar or two on Thursday these one day Calls would be interesting. Given it's $6.68 price  increase on the day it would seem a stretch to have the stock jump even higher the following morning. I wouldn't be betting on it going up on the day, nor betting on the Call going down. With Thursday's unusual action it is now to difficult to call. Here now is it's five and  thirty day charts. I would just stay away.

Let's see what Friday's action brings. here is how these options closed the week.

The last chart shows how the calls traded on the day. Yes the Calls and Puts are  tradable  intraday however that's another story which calls for some devotion.

 

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