Featured

Eli Lilly Looking For Rebound After Two Days Of Selling Off In Price.

Here are how things are set up for the opening. Now it's one and five day charts. .. So the stock is down like $75.00 from it's peak opening two days ago. It's Wednesday and these option now have three days of life left in them. $14.97 is the price this one series of Calls closed at. This kind of a chart formation looks kind of ugly. A flat opening. There is not much happening in the first twenty minutes of trading yet the D.J.I.A is up.. It's a Wednesday and for one week option traders these are often turn around days. It didn't happen. Eli Lilly danced around and then sold off on the close on Wednesday. Here is the pricing of the 1,025 Calls going into Thursday morning. They cost $9.00 and are $10.00 "out-of-the-money" with only two trading days to go. Does reading all this curb your appetite for wanting to play situations like this? If nothing else, it gives you an appreciation for how dangerous this game can be. Let's see what happens next.
Post a Comment

Boeing Has Gotten Expensive Lately

 It might start making money again. Here is it's five day cart.

On Monday May 22th  the markets jumped up over 800 points and Boeing was down. Monday was May 27th.  Here is Thursdays chart.
If you look at the chart you can see some traders got in on the opening on Call options near the previous day's closing price. Then these Calls jumped up explosively on the day.
Why it happened. Well their CEO made a speech. He stated that the company is making a come back. Why the stock didn't open a few dollars higher the following morning rather that having a limp opening is something I don't know.

Is it to late to play it for a continued rebound tomorrow, a Friday? Here is how the $202.50 Calls closed the day which is a Thursday. The "open interest" number is fairly high.
Now the $207.50 Calls which are just a touch "out-of-the-money" Calls.
It was good news that caused this stock to go up. If the market opens stronger these "one-day-out" options could open stronger. Here also is a look at the slightly just "out-of-the-money" Puts. The Puts lost 80% of their value on the day as the stock was up $6.68 on the day.
What's my take on things? If Boeing was up only a dollar or two on Thursday these one day Calls would be interesting. Given it's $6.68 price  increase on the day it would seem a stretch to have the stock jump even higher the following morning. I wouldn't be betting on it going up on the day, nor betting on the Call going down. With Thursday's unusual action it is now to difficult to call. Here now is it's five and  thirty day charts. I would just stay away.

Let's see what Friday's action brings. here is how these options closed the week.

The last chart shows how the Calls traded on the day. Yes the Calls and Puts are  tradable  intraday however that's another story which calls for some devotion.
 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more