Featured

Walmart - Trying To Outsmart The System

I don't know if it is going to work. Buying a Call and an offsetting Put on the same stock with the same striking price with two days of trading life left in them. The logic is to sell one of the two if it gets a double or more, (hang on as long as you can), and earn a free ride in an offsetting change of direction. Look at this five day chart and you might see how this train of thought developed. Now a look at one Call series and one Put series. These options both have two full days of trading life left in them. Here is it's five day chart which looks like it might break out. It really takes a share price move of over $2.00 quickly, to make this a fun experience. Options priced in the $1.00 range can suprise. It also could be a total bust. Let's follow this action and see how it all plays out.Thursday morning. Here is the early morning action. The Puts really performed. Can you sell out of both postions and take a profit. Hold that thought. Might it go lower? Here is ...
Post a Comment

Boeing Has Gotten Expensive Lately

 It might start making money again. Here is it's five day cart.

On Monday May 22th  the markets jumped up over 800 points and Boeing was down. Monday was May 27th.  Here is Thursdays chart.
If you look at the chart you can see some traders got in on the opening on Call options near the previous day's closing price. Then these Calls jumped up explosively on the day.
Why it happened. Well their CEO made a speech. He stated that the company is making a come back. Why the stock didn't open a few dollars higher the following morning rather that having a limp opening is something I don't know.

Is it to late to play it for a continued rebound tomorrow, a Friday? Here is how the $202.50 Calls closed the day which is a Thursday. The "open interest" number is fairly high.
Now the $207.50 Calls which are just a touch "out-of-the-money" Calls.
It was good news that caused this stock to go up. If the market opens stronger these "one-day-out" options could open stronger. Here also is a look at the slightly just "out-of-the-money" Puts. The Puts lost 80% of their value on the day as the stock was up $6.68 on the day.
What's my take on things? If Boeing was up only a dollar or two on Thursday these one day Calls would be interesting. Given it's $6.68 price  increase on the day it would seem a stretch to have the stock jump even higher the following morning. I wouldn't be betting on it going up on the day, nor betting on the Call going down. With Thursday's unusual action it is now to difficult to call. Here now is it's five and  thirty day charts. I would just stay away.

Let's see what Friday's action brings. here is how these options closed the week.

The last chart shows how the Calls traded on the day. Yes the Calls and Puts are  tradable  intraday however that's another story which calls for some devotion.
 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more