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Showing posts from February, 2025

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What Business Do You Have To Be Playing Exxon Options?

The world is politically unstable and Exxon jumped on the opening. Can you jump in and play it for the downside over the next two days? The real money was made by option traders who jumped into Call options yesterday before the close knowing that Trumph was ramping up his rhetoric on invading Greenland. His talking last week about getting involved in the Venezuela oil markets pushed up Exxon and Chevrions stock prices. Here are their five day charts. ... Now consider this. A bet on the Puts to make you money over the next two days puts you in the driver's seat on playing the downside. Would this be a reckless trade to make or one that shows your wisdom in calling Trumph out on his reckless path of destruction? You decide. Now this. What this shows are how "out-of-the-money" Exxon Calls reacted to this morning's opening. What a nice return to it's call holders.. Might things cool of a bit over the next two days? Here are the Puts that expire this Friday. Would yo...
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"Lucid" Reports It's Earnings.

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There was not to much of a suprise but maybe a floor price has been reached. The stock is now down considerably and vehicle orders are now expected to tick up. A new more affordable EV is being launched this year that will cost less. Investors were nervous going into this report and the stock as of late has being in a precipitous slide downwards. It's going to take a day or two to process this fresh news. The EV industry is taking it on the chin as of late. Part of the good news is that Lucid is not using the word "burn rates" They also seem to have access to more cash going forward if needed. Both Lucid and Rivian are now appearing to be more fiscally responsible. Yet we now have to wait another full quarter to confirm such a suspicion. Shown above is it's five day chart and below is it's one year chart. In previous blogs I have talked about three, four and five dollar stock's and options on them. They can sometimes suprise. Is this one of those moments wh...
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Earning Reports, " Rivian" And Next "Lucid " To Soon Report."

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Vroom, vroom, vroom. Well they are electric. They don't vroom that much and that's a good thing. Rivian is not going to go away and their trucks of many designs are out working everyday. While Rivian is not going to go away it is still burning through a pile of cash and is planning a shut down of one of their lines for the retooling of a more affordable model sometime this year. Sales seem to be plateauing. That's not a good thing for start up companies to be worrying about. Here is it's current position. Trump is not being kind to electric automobile makers. China has labor costs of like $6.00 an hour or less and is selling their electric vehicles all over the world. Why, one might ask is North American so focused making consumers pay for their grossly overpriced product offerings? This can't go on forever. Now this. Rivian had a few bright spots last year like when V.W. stepped in to be a bigger partner of sort however it's lastest quarterly earnings repor...
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Trying To Make Sense Out Of John Deere.

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Last week Deere dipped on a lousy earning's report but rebounded. I wasted part of last Friday watching the stock going up, to timid too play it for the upside and yet smart enough not to try and play it to the downside. Deere afterall is 68.58% owned by institutional investors who pay big bucks to get the best and the lastest insider's reports. They were told the stock should go up. Here is a five day chart as of February 18th around 11:00 a.m. which is now two trading days after last Friday's big rally. The stock continues to go up. . How lousy was it? It was really bad. Caterpillar also recently had a really bad (not just poor) earning's report. The economy is on the verge of a recession. Farmers are not buying tractors. Read this. Scary stuff right? Sales down 30% year over year. "A shaky backdrop for consumers". Shaky is not an inspiring word for an executive of the company to be using. With new tariffs on the way and steel prices on the verge of costing...
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