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Showing posts from February, 2024

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Bad News On Caterpillar Going Into a Friday.

Here is how the stock traded on a Thursday.There was nothing unusual about the day. I am suprised they would dump this news on the market going into a Friday trading session. It messes up option traders. Doing this type of an announcement on a Tuesday prior to the markets opening would be a less disruptive day to do this. Here is the news. In a way this wasn't totally unexpected news. As they said, there were several other recent updates on this issue. Auto companies in their recent quarterly reports were harping on this issue. Look at how it dropped in price in the after market trading. Now here is how one series of Puts closed the day. Look at how this news totally caught the markets by suprise. The secrecy of this news is a credit to Caterpillar. If Caterpillar had this news are Deere Call holders going to get worried? Here is what happened on Friday morning. Now Deere which is now also trying to shake off this bad news. These two stocks tend to trade in similiar ways. He...
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China Car Production

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Here are the top 19 countries in the world that produce cars. Here are tho top 10 Chinese EV makers. The chart is wrong! It's missing Telsa. Telsa and BYD are fighting for the number #1 and #2 spot. BYD now has their own special news happening. Also noted is that Canadian production is off by about half it once was in less than ten years. Let's now talk about Nio. Nio is number three on this list and regularly one of the most actively traded EV stocks on the NYSE. It also has the fastest EV racing car in the world. Here is it's one year chart. Options on stocks in the five dollar range can delight if you catch the right direction. Nio has hit a rough patch as of late. Back in January 2021 this stock was up to over $61.00 dollars per share and production has ramped futher up since then. It's expanding it's sales into Europe. It could take off again if and when production numbers go up. It's not bad to be #3. Here is yet another Chinese EV play called Li Aut...
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The Dow Up 457 And the Nasdaq Up 460.70

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Look at these gains today. Today is a Thursday. Meta is up $18.04, AMD is up $17.49, NVDA is up 110.55, AMZN is up $6.00, ELI lILLY is up 23.75, SUPER MICRO is up $241.52, NETFLIX is up $15.12, COSTCO is up $11.38 AND MODERNA is up $11.85. Gains of $110.55 and $241.52 in one day on two stocks! What's that all about? Well warning bells should be going off. We must be at a short term top. Three stocks stand out to me that are having changing stories. 1) Moderna. 2) Rivian. 3) Lucid In these crazy markets a lot of these stories get buried. Option players in these markets are getting whipsawed and it is getting to be to difficult a market to play in. Once this final round of earning reports are over things should get back to normal.
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Ford. Pick Your Battle

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It's down on a Wednesday and here is some recently released news. Now here is it's five day chart. So it's around the 2:45p.m. on Wednesday and not much is happening with the stock. Recently the option chain link was changed. Say goodbye to the 12 series of options, the 12.5 series of Calls and the likes of numbers like that. Now they are the 11.82 series, the 12.32 series ,the 12.82 series.... Why the change? It could be said that stocks are more likely to close closer to numbers like 12.00 or 12.50 so that could be part of the reason why. So hear is a printout of where the 11.82 and 12.32 series of Calls are now trading. What are two reasons why I like these Calls? The first is that they could rebound on the closing today or on the opening tomorrow without the time value left in them becoming a big issue. The second reason is that there are more outstanding open Calls on the slightly higher and now "out-of-the money" Calls. To be more exact there are 2,646 c...
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Eli Lilly Calls With Four Days to Go.

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This is a four day trading week starting with Tuesday. Monday was a holiday. Here is how the stock Eli Lilly traded on the last five days and in the last three months. The stock is surging upwards (thanks to a new weight loss product) and the following Calls and Puts are very expensive. Here are Fridays closing prices on the 780 series Calls and Puts. First the Calls.The Calls cost $14.35 and the Puts cost $11.70. They only buy you four days of trading time. Now here is a chart showing how the stock closed out the day. Finally, here is how the 780 Calls and Puts closed the day. So the stock lost $24.60 on the day. Note the" Open- Interest" on the Calls and Puts stayed the same from the previous day. What happened was "covered-Call-selling" in the morning, meaning as the stock tumbled it was a no brainer to be selling the Calls if you already owned the underlying stock and then buying them back at a profit later in the day. There was also some just outright ...
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Fun With Numbers. A Stock Named "Super Micro".

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Stocks trading in the $1,000 per share price range will have options trading on them. What happens to "one-day-to-go" Put options on a $1,000 priced stock that suddenly drops to $800.00 in price in one day? Case in point is a stock called "Super Micro" and it is an A.I. play. The answer to this question is at the bottom of this blog. What I am about to show you happened on Friday February 16th. It was such an obscure situation it wasn't really playable. This isn't the kind of stuff I follow however I just want to show you how extreme option trading can sometimes be. This was an option series which was $50.00 "out-of-the-money" at the start of the day. Look at how like 10,000 contracts traded on it in just that one day! The Put option jumped up 1,886 % in one day! That doesn't happen very often. A contract trading at the low of the day at $181.00 went to a high of $14,877.00 .
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Roku. Please Read This Even If You Don't Recognize This Name

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It's earning report came out and it fell. Look at this. Now this report. The stock dropped as revenues went up. Go figure. How did the Put options do? These are the 90 series of Puts, the series most traders would be attracted to if they were considering playing the downside for a one day trade. They closed the previous day, the day before the release of this news for $5.80. "Netflix" is another stock also in the same space and it's stock also gets whiplashed around like this on it's earning reports. See it's one year chart. The stock has doubled in the last year and is widely followed by option players. All of these companies in this space fight amongst each other for paid monthly subscriptions. Whoever has the best platform of the day will steal market share away from their competition while at the same time analyst weigh in on their thoughts on how the industry in it's entirety is evolving. "Disney" and "Lions Gate" are two othe...
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