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Showing posts from April, 2022

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Trying To Make Costco Options Impossible To Play That Expire In One Day.

This was a special situation. A quarterly earning report coming out on the eve of one day options. With five days in every trading week the odds of that situation happening are only like twenty percent.  For some option players the event of one day options reacting to quarterly earning reports is like waiting for Christmas morning. Especially on stocks in the $1,000 dollar range. First the Puts on a Thursday morning at 9:52 a.m.. These are Puts $9.75 "out-of-the-money" with one day to go before they expire. Look at how crazy expensive they are. The stock would have to drop $21.00 just to break even. Earning reports are coming out at 5:00 p.m. (on a Thursday) which is after the market closes. The fireworks will start in the next morning when the markets open. Could it open up on the trading session $25.00 higher or lower.?  Notice that he open interest in the Call options series shown below is next to nothing? That to me is a bullish signal.  What about the Calls? Well the...
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Boeing 1st Quarter 2022 Earnings Report

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The markets are rough in recent days. Boeing just had earning reports come out. Here is what happened in the first hour of trading. It doesn't matter what the numbers are. What matters is how the company addresses the issues. How does a company lick it's wounds after news like this. Well they artfully plants forward looking statements. Seven little very polished points which help to wash away the past and make us look forward. Well done. That's why their C.E.O.s get paid big bucks. Here is a look at one series of Boeing Call options two weeks out. The 155 series of Calls which expire on May 13th 2022. Is two weeks enough time to wash this bad news away? That's the bet. Notice this is a series which previously never had any "open interest" in them. This is rare but not necessarily a bad thing. Do you have $420.00 U.S. you want play with? It's a chunk of cash. Yes or no? Is this the right time to "pull the trigger"? It's the catching a fallin...
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"Cat Puts" - This Is One Of The More Interesting blogs On This Site

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As I write this blog I think about the Oct 20th blog posted called "X-mas Came Early To Ford Call Holders". When strange trading days happen they stick in your mind. Another blog I wrote on March 11th 2021 talked about Boeing going up $35.00 in one week. That was also a strange occurance. Today's trading was one of those days. Why, well one of the biggest one day drops so far this year happened. The DJI dropped 981 points dragging down most stocks including Caterpillar. Today was a Friday. At 9:38 a.m. this morning here is what the markets were doing. No one at this point in the days trading was thinking that the markets might sell off almost one thousand points on the day. Here is a five day chart on Caterpillar as of 1:30 p.m. on Friday afternoon. Here finally is how the stock Caterpillar traded on the entire day. Look at how there was an additional ten dollar drop in the stocks price in the last 2.5 hours of trading. That's when the markets really started to tur...
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Deere and Company With One Day To Go. Yes or No? You Decide How Smart You Are.

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Let's start with a question. There is one day to go and Deere today on a Thursday dropped over $13.00 dollars on the day. Should you jump into one day Call options on it right now looking for a rebound or wait until the following morning? Moving forward, in the Friday morning's premarkets at 8:30 a.m. we can see that the stock is up $1.50. Here is proof of yesterdays downward action. The premarkets are expecting to open higher. Are you to late to the party if you buy in (one day, last day) Call options that is? After dropping that much yesterday it should rebound right? Right? Let's stop. As the writer of this blog I think the real question should be who really wants to be speculating in situations like this? It's so dangerous. Learning to pick the battles you want to fight should be a very big part of this exercise. Yes I sometimes like to play Deer Call or Put options with only one day to go in their trading life but not after a day when it drops $13.00. To me tha...
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Electric Vehicles - A Race

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Back on January 8th I wrote a blog called "Dreaming Electic Cars". In it I mentioned the electric car company called Polestar. Here I am again on this topic. Countries like Norway and Denmark are miles ahead of us when it comes to North American new electric vehicles sales. The percentage of electric vehicle sales in these two countries is appoaching the 60% mark. Here once again is news on Polestar which trades under the name "Gores Guggenheim" It's price is little changed from my January 8th blog. The second company is Sono Group N.V.. It is based in Norway and early investors in have not done well. Now here is a chart showing the stocks price. It is noted that it needs 301 million dollars in additional funding to get things up and running and if all or some of this money comes from the issuance new stock, that would put a lid on this stock moving up in price in the near term. Yet wait, they just reported their first ever profit. It's being a long wai...
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Deere - An Introduction to Playing Calls and Puts One Month Out.

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Ten days ago I talked about playing Options on "Deer and Company" with one day to go. Today is a Monday I am going to talk about Deere again and show it's one day chart. Look at Deere go up just after opening. Could you have played the Calls or Puts and made some money? Well only if you where playing the upside in the first thirty minutes of trading. Trading Call or Put options on Deer with four days life left in them is a tough to do. You can get caught off side all to easily. Let me now show you (this now being a Tuesday) the prices of the May 24th Deere Calls and Puts followed by it's three month chart. These are Call and Put options that expire one month out. The action in how they change in value is trend line related. In the last thirty days Deere is up about $30.00 dollars. Many traders feel safer making bets on thirty day moving averages than on let's say four day moving averages. Catch a changing trend correctly and you make out nicely. Option players...
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