Posts

Showing posts from March, 2022

Featured

Another Attempt To Explain Exxon Options.

There are times I feel safer playing Exxon Call and Put options than I do playing options on other companies. Why? Well today this happened and the options didn't move to much. What the heck was all that stuff? It was information that flows. It's humbling to read it. There are so many parts in motion which somehow mesh together to create Exxon's price at any one momeent. What I like about trading Exxon is that when it moves, it moves quickly. That plus when it does move the options on them move a chunk at a time. That can be a good thing. Here is Exxon's five day chart. It's had some recent really big moves. I picked something difficult. Two series of options on Exxon that expire at 3:00 p.m. tomorow. Here is how they closed today, a Thursday. Let's be clear. This is not a situation I would like to be in. Which way is the stock going to move on the opening? I note that there are four times more Calls outstanding than there are Puts. It's not uncommon t...

Deere and Company - One Of The Most Dangerous Series Of Call and Put Options to Play When There Is Only Hours To Go.

Image
If you have winnings from a previous trade sometimes you value that money differently. It's difficult to explain why but there are scholars out there who have written books on this very topic. It's like play money or free money that you can now use to make the wildest option trades you can think of. It's money you feel you can risk. It's like being a kid in a candy store with money in your pocket. Everything looks good.There are two stocks that I sometimes follow, Dominos Pizza and John Deere. Both have options available to trade on them however the Call and Put options on the first one, Dominos are near impossible to trade. Why? Well on a Friday morning with options expiring that day on it, how do you predict which direction the stock on the world's largest pizza company is going to go? The answer is you can't. The company is painfully aware that one news release about the price of cheese going up or problems with their ordering apps could send their stock int...