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Showing posts from March, 2022

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Netflix With One Day To Go. Also Boeing, Tesla And Caterpillar.

Here is a one day chart showing how Neflix traded on December 31st 2025. It sold off on the opening and then had a decent rebound followed by a flat to down closing. January 1st was a holiday and options on it expire on Friday, January 2nd. Now look at a chart of how the 93 series of Calls that expire tomorrow (January 2nd) traded on the previous trading day December 31st. At one point in the day they rallied only then to sell off again. Here now is the same chart from a different provider. Let's put a bold spin on things. Let's move up the price point by $1.00 to the 94 dollar price level and put a new spin on things. Will the 94 series of Calls with one day to go jump on the opening January 2nd which is tomorrow? Why the 94 series and not the 93 series? Well it's hoping for a rebound from three prior days of falling markets. Here they are. Both of the series we are showing are slightly "out-of-the money" one day Calls. Both need a sizeable morning bounce to p...

Deere and Company - One Of The Most Dangerous Series Of Call and Put Options to Play When There Is Only Hours To Go.

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If you have winnings from a previous trade sometimes you value that money differently. It's difficult to explain why but there are scholars out there who have written books on this very topic. It's like play money or free money that you can now use to make the wildest option trades you can think of. It's money you feel you can risk. It's like being a kid in a candy store with money in your pocket. Everything looks good.There are two stocks that I sometimes follow, Dominos Pizza and John Deere. Both have options available to trade on them however the Call and Put options on the first one, Dominos are near impossible to trade. Why? Well on a Friday morning with options expiring that day on it, how do you predict which direction the stock on the world's largest pizza company is going to go? The answer is you can't. The company is painfully aware that one news release about the price of cheese going up or problems with their ordering apps could send their stock int...