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Showing posts from March, 2022

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A Classic Tesla Friday Option Day Story

So Tesla moves up in the first few minutes of trading on a Friday and quickly decides to go south. The DJIA closed down on the day 685 points. Here is how one series of Puts, the 425 series of traded on the day. A low of $4.11, the price the 425 Puts just after the opening and a closing price of $33.90. More surprising were the "out-of-the-money 410 Puts. A low of $.33 and a high of $21.28. The most extreme gain was with the 392.50 Puts which has a low of $.03 or three dollars a contract and a high of $4.12 or four hundred and twelve dollares. Do the math of that one. How many times has this website talked trading "one-day-until-expiring-options" on Tesla options. The answer is many times. There was news this week about Musk raising 75 billion dollars for "Space X" and in doing so is selling out only 4-5% of this new company. Musk is the richest man in the world. Powerful people can make powerful moves. So what's my point? My point is that the option mark...

Deere and Company - One Of The Most Dangerous Series Of Call and Put Options to Play When There Is Only Hours To Go.

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If you have winnings from a previous trade sometimes you value that money differently. It's difficult to explain why but there are scholars out there who have written books on this very topic. It's like play money or free money that you can now use to make the wildest option trades you can think of. It's money you feel you can risk. It's like being a kid in a candy store with money in your pocket. Everything looks good.There are two stocks that I sometimes follow, Dominos Pizza and John Deere. Both have options available to trade on them however the Call and Put options on the first one, Dominos are near impossible to trade. Why? Well on a Friday morning with options expiring that day on it, how do you predict which direction the stock on the world's largest pizza company is going to go? The answer is you can't. The company is painfully aware that one news release about the price of cheese going up or problems with their ordering apps could send their stock int...