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Showing posts from March, 2022

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Why Hertz Calls On A Early Thursday Afternoon Don't Work

First the chart. On paper it looks like this chart could rebound. Here is one series of it's "in-the-money" Calls. Here are three reasons why this situation is to dangerous to play. 1) There is a Avis Budget Group Inc. implosion happening today. A really big one. Read my previous blog. That's not directly related to this company but it makes the sector a bad space to be in. 2) The "bid-and-ask" spread is to far apart which helps to give the market makers some extra insurance. That plus the volume of trading is very light which also seems to give the house an advantage. Look Walmart.The spread is about the same but you can split the middle without affecting the "bids-and-asks" and the volumes are so much better. I like trading in that kind of space better. 3) Hertz is not the kind of company which comes out with daily or weekly updates. Contrast this to the stock Ford which seems to have good and bad news coming out every other day. With Ford so...

Deere and Company - One Of The Most Dangerous Series Of Call and Put Options to Play When There Is Only Hours To Go.

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If you have winnings from a previous trade sometimes you value that money differently. It's difficult to explain why but there are scholars out there who have written books on this very topic. It's like play money or free money that you can now use to make the wildest option trades you can think of. It's money you feel you can risk. It's like being a kid in a candy store with money in your pocket. Everything looks good.There are two stocks that I sometimes follow, Dominos Pizza and John Deere. Both have options available to trade on them however the Call and Put options on the first one, Dominos are near impossible to trade. Why? Well on a Friday morning with options expiring that day on it, how do you predict which direction the stock on the world's largest pizza company is going to go? The answer is you can't. The company is painfully aware that one news release about the price of cheese going up or problems with their ordering apps could send their stock int...