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Showing posts from December, 2023

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Why Exxon Options Are Changing The Game Of Option Trading

At least it is now in this current market environment. Look at it's one day chart today. Remember, options trading on it are set up in one dollar intervals. Can you see how it jumped up on the opening? Now let me show you four ways traders could have made money trading this stock today. 1&2) A double happened right off the bat. Buy the 116 Calls at 9:30 a.m. and sell them at 10.00 a.m.. Or wait until 1:45 p.m. That would have also worked. 3&4) Buy the 117 Puts at 10:00 a.m. and sell them at 11:00. a.m. Or buy the 117 Puts at 1:50 p.m. and sell them at 3:55 p.m. Is it really possible to make three or four meaningful successful option trades on one stock in one day? I would say yes and in this case it helped that a double happened in the very first thirty minutes of trading. Sometimes the charts don't look like this. Let me give you this example from the opening of the trading session last Friday. From watching Exxon charts daily you will see a patte...

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

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Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...