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Showing posts from December, 2023

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Five Dollar Options. Hertz

First a year-to-date-chart and a three month chart. The three-month-chart looks slightly better. In the last couple of weeks it hasn't done very much. It did have a big jump about six weeks ago. What do I know about this company? Nothing much but the car rental business could be kind of slow because fewer tourists are visiting the U.S. and with all of the U.S. governments slashing of services fewer government employees are using car rentals services. That plus there was a big mix up a liitle while back where Hertz went all in on Tesla vehicles and ended up dumping them and taking a bath. Now this. On a different note Carvana jumped $48.21 today. The used car market seems to soldier on with some people buying used rather than new because everything costs so much. Used car prices still remain high. So here is the deal. This stock could jump up but who knows when. Here is the five series of Hertz Calls which expires this Friday. These options don't buy you enough time. They ar...

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

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Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...