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Showing posts from December, 2023

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Ford Call Options And A Quarterly Earnings Report

Let's start with a comment made by a Ford executive on the release of their quarterly earning report. There will be a "sunsetting of certain vehicles as we refresh our portfolio". What an elegant way saying they are surviving the changing times. Earnings for the June quarter are $.42 cents per share up from $.37 cents on the quarter a year earlier. Yesterday around 11:00 a.m. would have been a good time to catch a ride on this week's Call options. Let's watch how the markets will react to this news on the opening. Let's look at this week's Call options expiring on Friday (today is a Wednesday) and the January 15 Calls for 2027. That buys you about six months of time. First this week's Call options. They closed yesterday at $.46. Now the January 2027 Calls with a $15.00 striking price. Let's what happens on the opening. Will option traders be able to take their money and run? ... Take your money and run or wait? To be continued.
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A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

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Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
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