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Showing posts from December, 2023

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One Day Options On One Of The Most Difficult Stocks To Play Options On. Carvana

Carvana has a dubious reputation. Insider stock manipulation. That's old news. Who knows what it is now doing? Here is it's five day chart and here are how it's two day until expiring Call and Put options are positioned going into tomorrow's Thursday trading session. .... Both are crazy expensive however they do offer two days of trading activity. That's a long time for options on a stock like Carvana. Look at the dip and the rebound it had on Wednesday. Now I am jumping ahead to Friday, the final day of trading on these two series of options. Look at this. First a five day chart showing Thursdays and Friday's action. Now it's Friday only chart. So what's important about this one day chart? This. Look at how it's Calls options traded. The Call holders lost all their money. Now look at the Puts.This series of Puts we are watching did wonderfully well as did the series of Puts with a higher striking price we were looking at on the closing o...
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A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

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Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
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