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Showing posts from December, 2023

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How Option Makers Are Trying To "Close The Door" On Afternoon Last Day Option Trading"

This is something new that is affecting retail option traders which I have never really paid attention to before. I guess I am always learning. Option makers are taking steps to steer option traders away from chasing the option market from 1:00 p.m. to 3:00 p.m. on the "last-day-Friday-afternoon-options". It's only noticable on certain stocks like Exxon. I just came apon this after writing a blog about trading friday morning one day Call options on Exxon. Look at the "bid-and-ask" on this series of Calls on Exxon at 1:11.p.m. Look at how wide the spread is. Sixty one cents! That's crazy wide and if your stuck in a postion that you want to get out of at a fair price well good luck. Placing in a sell ticket by spliting the difference between the bid and ask would probably cause the bid to drop. This would force you to lower your asking price once again. In other words the liquidity is not there. This is in spite of it's mornings option trading being bris...

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

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Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...