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Showing posts from December, 2023

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Options On Stocks In The Fifteen And Twenty Dollar Price Range With Seven Days To Go And Not Five Days To Go.

I should have called this blog "Ford Calls" or "Harley Davidson Calls" to get more hits but this time I want to show you something a little bit different. What I want to show you is how options with seven days of trading life left in them can suprise. Seven days and not five days. What's the big difference? Well the extra day buys you the action of a Friday bounce without having to worry about your option position expiring that day. Seven and not six days also. These options would need to be bought on a Thursday before the close. This may sound kind of confusing but let me show you two examples of what played itself out last Friday. Let's first use the stock Harley Davidson and use it's Call options as an example. Here is how "seven-day-out-Call-options" would have traded the day later on Friday February 12th. They jumped 60% in one day! What kind of a jump in the stock's price would have caused that to happen? Well let's look at it...
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A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

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Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
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