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Showing posts from December, 2023

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Up Today And Down Tomorrow. A Day Of Peace Talk News.

Let's start with Home Depot and then move on to Caterpillar and Eli Lilly. ... .... ... All three of these series of Puts have two full days of trading life in them. These are not normal times and all three of these series of Puts are attracting next to no interest. Is the U.S. on the hook for all the damages it has created? That's never going to happen. Playing the upside is to expensive and playing the downside on strong stocks is a losing game. Is this upside move now a case of excess exuberance? I think so.
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A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

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Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
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