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Showing posts from December, 2023

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Boeing Jumps 10% In One Day!

1) It's chart. 2) A look at how two series of Calls reacted to this news. This time around the volume of options in these two Call positions and other Boeing Call option positions spiked. What a poor way to be offering this kind of guidance. 3) The news. The exact wording of what was said by it's C.F.O. can be found on other news outlets. It wasn't presented in formal way or in a clear and professional manner. 4) Here is why the timing of this news was so welcomed. Here is Boeing's news from 31 days before. What a different story. One month ago Boeing dropped to $205.00 on this news. The bottom line to all of this is that this kind of "happy days" news is putting so many other stocks like Caterpillar in unchartered territories. It's all kind of like walking on eggs. 5) As just mentioned, Caterpillar today also jumped up on this burst of euphoria. Caterpillar didn't really have any good news of it's own. 6) Deere recently had a decent earning...
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A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

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Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
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