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Showing posts from December, 2023

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Tesla On A Wednesday.

Let's start with this chart. Tesla is stuttering after the opening. Here are how one series of Calls are trading. What you need to know is that these are Call options which expire today, on a Wednesday which are not the usual Friday expiring options I commonly follow. Who would be bold enough to be playing "last-day-to-expiring" options? Next, Tesla at 1:42 p.m. ... Now a different look at the same action. So at 11:08 a.m. they jumped to $4.50 and at 1.04 p.m. they jumped up to $4.33. Now this at 3:00 p.m.. . These Call options have run out of time. 3:00 p.m. is deadline for when retail traders have to be out of their positions. Tesla can sometimes jump $25.00 in one day. I get it as to why there is a fascination for one day option trading on Tesla, especially when the DJIA trades so erratically on a "hour-to-hour" basis. With this kind of trading you have to learn to take your profits whenever you see them. Unless you're playing with recent profits ...

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

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Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...