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Showing posts from December, 2023

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The Most Expensive Call Option I Have Ever Commented On.

How expensive? $3,250.00. Yikes. It's a hunch I have. A hunch is "a feeling or guess based on intuition rather than known facts". Are you wasting you're time reading about some person you probably don't even know talking about a hunch a stock option? Maybe. Now this. Look at this 30 day Eli Lilly chart. It's ugly. A few days back I looked at its chart when it looked like this. At that time I commented on it and called it a "step-down" chart and a precursor to bad things to come. Are we now at a bottom? Botttons are difficult to predict. Now this. The most expensive Call option I have ever considered. It cost $3,446.00 dollars U.S. and it expires a week Friday. What we are looking for is a turnaround. The potential profits in holding this Call on a good day is like a gain of $100.00 an hour. Would you like to bank your money here? Here we are now 30 minutes later. Look at this printout. It is already up more than $100.00. This is a different wa...
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A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

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Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
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