Posts

Showing posts from November, 2023

Featured

A Jumpy Week For Caterpillar - A Week With Earning Reports

Here is Thursday's trading on the day on Caterpillar. Here is how the $417.50 calls that expire tomorrow closed the day. Something happened this week. Caterpillar had a quarterly earning report come out on Tuesday. It's stock trading action survived this news unscathed. Here is it's five day chart as of the end of Thursday. Maybe the 420.00 or the 422.50 series Calls are better to look at? Here they are. But wait. Deere got clobbered today on the release of a quarterly earning's report. Why didn't Caterpillar sell off in price in sympathy? It shoud have. Deere sold off $34.70. For this reason alone I would be more inclined to purshase the Puts. Here is the series I would consider. To be continued.

Why The Stupidest Trade in Tesla Would Have Made Money And Other Things

Image
It takes a one day four or five dollar move on Tesla to make a decent gain on a mid week move in Call or Put options on this stock. Here is one example. It's all about a technical break out if you believe in that kind of stuff. This action has being going on for years and some traders are very good at playing it. Let's start by looking at this chart. It's not however a mid-week snapshot of Telsa. This is a chart of how Tesla traded last Friday morning. Yes you could be playing one day options on it (options that expire at 3:00 p.m. that afternoon). In this case get in around 10:30 a.m. and out at 12:01 p.m.That's mad money trading and is a different animal to be playing than mid week options on Tesla. It's mad money because if I said around 10:00 a.m. and out at around 12:01 p.m. the outcome would have being entirely different. So today is Wednesday November 29th and here is a mid afternoon look at how Tesla is trading. Wednesdays are often days of a market reversa...

Deere, A New Problem

Image
Good morning to the markets on Nov 22nd 2023. Read the news. Might this stock dip further? So guess what? Caterpillar dropped in sympathy with this news. Now what? Income was up 43% in fiscal 2023. That's an amazing accomplishment. Did they upset the apple cart in shouting out their guidance for next year? Their new 2024 projections have a shock value to them and will take some time to digest. But wait, here is a new way to look at it. If the stock starts to go sideways over the next couple of months every tidbit of new news with be an event to celebrate. What a clever way to throw cold water on a hot earning report. PART TWO OF THIS BLOG. What's going to happen to this weeks Call options? Will traders now start to jump back in? Here is how the Call options are now set up. First the Calls with a $360.00 striking price that expire this Friday which is two days away. * the markets are closed Thursday for Thanksgiving. Now the Calls with a $360.00 striking price one week out....

Ford and The Issue of Paying Commissions on Ford Option Trades.

Image
This blog cost me like $35.00 to post but I am doing it to make a point. In the U.S. you can trade options for free but not in Canada. The example I am about to show you illustrates how Canadian option traders are treated unfairly, to the point of preventing us from trading in one very lucrative segment of the option market. I have talked about this before. To what am I referring? Trading options priced at one dollar to twenty dollars. Here is one example of what I am talking about. So I bought one Call for $17.00 U.S. plus a hefty commission. What a dumb trade to make. Today is Tuesday and it expires this Friday. On Thursday the markets are closed for Thanksgiving and they are closed half the day on Friday. Time in this position will quickly become a concern. Yet Friday mornings can sometimes suprise. Here is some news that caused it to drop. Ford frequently has news and here is what the one day chart looks like. Was it bad news? Not really. They are committed to building a plant ...