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Showing posts from January, 2022

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What Do I See Here? It's Disney In Nose Bleeding Territory.

First it's five day chart. There was news this morning which might be attributable to this morning's jump in price. Ai news should always be taken with a grain of salt as it doesn't add to the bottom line profits overnight. The markets jumped today big time. Do markets sometimes take a pause after big jumps like this? That's the question and that's why I am attracted to it's one day Puts today just prior to the closing bell. A fifty cent selloff in tomorrow's premarket or shortly after would cause these Puts to jump by 50%. A double in price on the Puts would take a bigger move down than fifty cents. Might the stock give back one half of what it gained today? Here is how it is trading in the aftermarkets on Thursday. One concern is the light open interest numbers. This can make for larger than usual spreads between the "bid and ask". Let's hope it's a get-out-quickly situation however there is still lots of trading life left in these P...

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...