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Showing posts from January, 2022

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Tesla On A Friday Morning.

The concept of playing last day until expiring Tesla options scares most people. Maybe it shouldn't. In the list of the five most actively options on any company Tesla would come it at about #2.. My next statement is going to sound kind strange. One strategy often employed is to look for quick reversals on the opening on Friday mornings with the soon to be expiring options (at 3:00 p.m.) and see how this situation plays out. That's what has happened in the first chart below. It sounds silly yet watch them for yourself for the next month or so and see how often this pattern happens. Now here is it's chart at 9:56 a.m. this morning. It's flat after a dip on the opening.That flat line on the top of the chart shows you wher it strted the day. The dip on the opening dropped these Calls down to $.85 cents. Now here is it's five day chart. You can see this morning's dip in it's chart. Now to further set the stage here is how it's Calls and Puts are tradng, a...

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...