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Showing posts from January, 2022

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McDonalds Was On A High This Week Before Common Sense Kicked In

There was news. McDonald's is winning at drawing it's customers back in. Quarterly earning were released this week. The stock jumped on Thursday on this news. See this chart. Now it's Puts trading on Friday, the day after. Logic has suddenly set in. With gas prices so high who can afford the gas necessary to drive to a McDonalds? A low of $.10 to a high over $5.04. (See the small Friday morning opening bounce upwards which would have driven the Puts at that time down to the $.10 price range). What a trap. You should you be thinking about opportunities like this. Sometimes they happen out of the blue. ** Ask Chatgpt why Mcdonald's stock dropped so much on Friday.
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Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...
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