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Showing posts from January, 2022

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Tesla Calls On A Friday That Expire On Monday

It's the same topic I posted last Friday. Today is Independence Day and the markets are closed. For this reason we can't really talk about mimicking last last Friday's trading. Here is it's five day chart. As you can see Tesla dropped on Thursday. Here is a look at how one series of Telsa's Puts traded on Thursday. Now look at the pricing on this one series of "slightly-out-of-the-money" Tesla Calls as of Thursday's close. These Calls would let you be in all of Monday's trading action. Is the price of $4.60 a contract a fair price? Well consider these two points. One day swings in stocks in general in the $400.00 price range can be significant. This five day chart of Tesla below shows you how it jumped $32.13 last Monday! The second point is that long weekends (three full days of no market trading) are know to cause market resets. Stocks like Exxon can get whipped around. That's what makes the pricings on all options now so difficult to gau...
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Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...
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