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Showing posts from January, 2022

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Avis Budget and A Short Squeeze Plus Hertz Getting Dragged Into The Action

Hertz Global is on a terror. . Stocks in the $5.00 range sometimes do that. Yet really it's the Avis Budget short squeeze that is causing this stir. Look at how it jumped just over $105.00 dollars today. How often do you see a chart like this? It's a short squeeze and the stock is trading on high daily volumes. At one point this morning (a Tuesday) there was a "stop trading" on it. Trading options on it defies logic as they are so expensive. Look at this one example. These are the 700 series of Calls and the stock is only trading at 11:17 a.m. at $665.00. In other words they are $35.000 "out-of-the-money". Look at how crazy expensive they are. The stock would have to jump $105.00 or one hundred and five dollars by the end of the week just to break even! Who would be crazy enough to make such a bet? Day traders would be because they are banking on the effects caused by the stocks interday momentum. Let me explain this better by showing you an end of day re...

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...