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Showing posts from January, 2022

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One Day Puts On The Stock Eli Lilly At 2.31: p.m. On A Thursday Afternoon

The DJIA is up 850 points on the day. Eli Lilly has jumped $50.00 on the day. Happy days are here again. If the markets cool on the opening could the stock give up some of these gains? Could it give up 25% of what it gained today? Now it's five day and one day chart. $850.00 for a Put on a stock that has jumped up over $50.00 in one day. It's a Put that expires tomorrow. Is this a recipe for failure? At 242.00 p.m. the DJIA is up 899 points. Now the action at 2:47 p.m. Now this. In at 2:31 p.m. if you like and out at $850.00 and out 38 minutes later at $11.00. That's a gain of $250.00 and all you did was skim a small gain off a hot market. Maybe that could be your trade of the day to avoid all of aggrevations of what might happen next. It would be catching the tail end of a 950 point rally in one day. That in itself is not a bad strategy. Now a 3:30 p.m. update. Another small gain. Let's see what happens tomorrow.

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...