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Showing posts from January, 2022

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What Happened to Options On Tesla With Two Days To Go And An Earnings Report

First it's five day chart going into a thursday. It closed at $438.97 on wednesday. Something else was happening on wednesday. It's quarterly earnings report were coming out after the markets closed. This factor means that both the Calls and Puts were priced higher than they usually would be. The 440 Calls going into the opening closed at $14.30 on wednesday's close and the offsetting Puts with the same striking price closed at $15.37. ...... So the $14.30 for the Calls means $1,430.00 U.S. dollars which equals about $2,000 Canadian. Just to break even the stock would have to close at $454.30 which would be a huge leap upwards. It could. As stated in a past blog on two of the last three Fridays Tesla has had an interday price swing of over $30.00 dollars. Let's watch it and see what happens. So really the "small fish" meaning the little guys like us can't be sloshing money around and holding onto contracts like this overnight. But wait. It's the sw...
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Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...
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