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Showing posts from January, 2022

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Why Hertz Calls On A Early Thursday Afternoon Don't Work

First the chart. On paper it looks like this chart could rebound. Here is one series of it's "in-the-money" Calls. Here are three reasons why this situation is to dangerous to play. 1) There is a Avis Budget Group Inc. implosion happening today. A really big one. Read my previous blog. That's not directly related to this company but it makes the sector a bad space to be in. 2) The "bid-and-ask" spread is to far apart which helps to give the market makers some extra insurance. That plus the volume of trading is very light which also seems to give the house an advantage. Look Walmart.The spread is about the same but you can split the middle without affecting the "bids-and-asks" and the volumes are so much better. I like trading in that kind of space better. 3) Hertz is not the kind of company which comes out with daily or weekly updates. Contrast this to the stock Ford which seems to have good and bad news coming out every other day. With Ford so...

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...