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Showing posts from January, 2022

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Can You Play Exxon Crashing On The Opening?

Here is it's five day chart. I have talked about these options before. Exxon drops on the opening. The Puts going into the trading session obviously did well. Is it time to buy the Calls for a rebound? Here are two series to look at. Only one contract traded in the first five minutes of trading. That tells us traders do not see this as being an amazing opportunity. It also shows us that experienced option traders have taught themselves to wait before they attempt to participate in any kind of a rebound. That's what you have to teach yourself to do. ....... Does this change at the 15 minute into the market time period? I can't tell for sure however it looks like someone may have bought a block of 50 contracts in the 116 series of Calls. Here we are at 10:00 a.m. Could this be the bottom? Now here we are at 12:22 p.m. happy times are here again. The 115 series of Calls which were trading for $1.87 at 9:46 a.m. now at 12:22 p.m have moved upwards to $2.70. The 116 ser...

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...