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Showing posts from January, 2022

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Caterpillar, Deere And Tesla. These Are Scary Times To Be Trading Options On These Stocks.

We are witnessing huge intraday price movements on stocks like Caterpillar, Deere and to a lesser degree Tesla in the last two weeks. Tesla sales are off in Europe as BYD continues to drop off boatloads of new vehicles into countries never before receptive to their offerings. Tesla now has competition. Caterpillar and Deere now have to worry about tariffs. "Market rotations" are now the new theme as investors worry about where to park their money. Caterpillars and Deeres recent meteorological rises are under attact. Silver stocks continue to rise and Bitcoin holders are not sleeping well at night. The price of gold has gone up and is not showing signs of coming off. People are now wondering if they should be lightning up on the weight of their jewerly boxes. Investors holding baskets of stocks now wonder why. Might they wake up one morning to find everything down 20%. Eight hundred point market drops in one day are now shrugged off as being nothing to worry about and they he...
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Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...
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